Diamondbacks vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 29

Seattle Mariners' Cal Raleigh walks to first base during the third inning of a baseball game against the Chicago Cubs in Chicago, Sunday, June 22, 2025.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
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The Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on May 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 31-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 22-35 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 3-4, 4.81 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 5-4, 3.52 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -175O 7 -102+125
Mariners -1.5 +145U 7 -118-155

Diamondbacks vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+14.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.10 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Adrian Del Castillo has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.95 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+21.50 Units / 307% ROI)
  • Cole Young has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • George Kirby has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+10.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+14.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+8.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 away games (+6.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+6.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.10 Units / 11% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 33-21 against the Run Line (+7.6 Units / 10.04% ROI).

  • 31-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 10.05% ROI
  • 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.74% ROI
  • 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -7.46% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 22-35 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -12.77% ROI).

  • 28-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -14.21% ROI
  • 26-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -9.39% ROI
  • 29-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.64% ROI

Mariners vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Julio Rodriguez +390
Ketel Marte +425
Luke Raley +450
Corbin Carroll +500
Josh Naylor +550

Mariners vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Naylor 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Ketel Marte 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Mariners vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Tommy Troy 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Dominic Canzone 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Diamondbacks are 5-15 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .135.

The Diamondbacks are just 84-22 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.

The Diamondbacks are just 93-16 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.

The Diamondbacks are 7-84 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .045.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Mariners are 9-4 (.692) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Diamondbacks (10th in runs scored).

The Mariners are 25-15 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are 6-84 (.067) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Mariners were 18-10 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .343 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .281 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .615 (657 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .204 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .170 against left-handed relievers this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .285 (657 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in the first 5 innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 70% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.54 (506.1 IP) this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.