• The Mets are -130 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
• Diamondbacks vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Diamondbacks / Mets TV Channel: DBTV | SNY

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-130) on April 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 5-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 6-5 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 0-1, 5.59 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 0-1, 4.66 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 away games (+8.20 Units / 90% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 62% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.50 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+14.15 Units / 48% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.25 Units / 42% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 37% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 13 away games (+11.20 Units / 73% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+7.45 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+4.35 Units / 10% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.65 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games (+4.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 8-3 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 26.26% ROI).

• 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -7.63% ROI
• 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 13.17% ROI
• 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -21.16% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 6-5 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 23.48% ROI).

• 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 5.19% ROI
• 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -11.93% ROI
• 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 4.98% ROI

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks are just 71-15 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.

The Diamondbacks are just 65-19 (.774) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 72-7 (.911) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .957.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mets are just 0-72 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.

The Mets are 19-123 (.134) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .271 (285 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks batted .289 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .097 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters had a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have put just 17% of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .225 with runners on base since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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