• The Diamondbacks are -125 favorites vs the Nationals
• Diamondbacks vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Diamondbacks / Nationals TV Channel: DBTV | NATV | WTTG

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+105) on July 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 54-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 61-40 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 8-3, 2.63 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Carson Palmquist 0-1, 8.74 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nolan Arenado has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+20.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+17.05 Units / 39% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.85 Units / 55% ROI)
• Gabriel Moreno has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 45% ROI)
• Eduardo Rodriguez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Curtis Mead has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+15.10 Units / 151% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Runs Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 68% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 away games (+15.10 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.80 Units / 77% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.50 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.15 Units / 27% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+14.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.20 Units / 8% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 56-44 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 2.88% ROI).

• 54-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 4.9% ROI
• 44-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -14 Units / -12.33% ROI
• 53-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 4.46% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 61-40 against the Run Line (+13.45 Units / 9.65% ROI).

• 52-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 9.64% ROI
• 58-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.45 Units / 12.75% ROI
• 40-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.5 Units / -20.73% ROI

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Nationals (first in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks are 47-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Diamondbacks are 47-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Diamondbacks are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Nationals (first in runs scored).

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Nationals are 44-9 (.830) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Nationals are just 20-31 (.392) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Nationals are just 45-9 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Nationals are just 42-12 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .377 against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters are slugging .443 this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .442 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .777 (1,267 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB.

The Nationals have scored in at least three different innings in 60% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — lowest in MLB.

Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers put 40% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.06 runs per game (309/51) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.43 (466.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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