Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 15

Colorado Rockies outfielder Kris Bryant (23) bats during a spring training baseball game against the Los Angeles Dodgers, Thursday, Feb. 27, 2025, in Scottsdale, Ariz.
(AP Photo/Darryl Webb)
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  • The Diamondbacks are -125 favorites vs the Rockies
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The Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+105) on May 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 pm in Denver, CO.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 20-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 23-21 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 2-3, 7.53 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 1-4, 6.01 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +125O 12 -118-125
Rockies +1.5 -155U 12 -102+105

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jose Fernandez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.93 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 6 away games (+9.00 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+18.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • T.J. Rumfield has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+15.60 Units / 173% ROI)
  • Mickey Moniak has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Troy Johnston has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.72 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 22 games (+16.45 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+8.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+3.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (+2.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games at home (+4.25 Units / 8% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 25-16 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 4.99% ROI).

  • 20-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -2.06% ROI
  • 22-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 4.84% ROI
  • 18-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -13.03% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 23-21 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -2.69% ROI).

  • 17-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 2.84% ROI
  • 21-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -9.35% ROI
  • 23-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.21% ROI

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Mickey Moniak +250
Hunter Goodman +260
Ketel Marte +300
Corbin Carroll +340
Nolan Arenado +400

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Freeman 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Hunter Goodman 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Ryan Waldschmidt 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jose Fernandez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Troy Johnston 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Edouard Julien 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Ezequiel Tovar 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Mickey Moniak 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Jose Fernandez 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Diamondbacks are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Diamondbacks are 4-14 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .135.

The Diamondbacks are just 2-11 (.154) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Diamondbacks are just 75-21 (.781) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rockies are just 17-27 (.386) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 3-15 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Rockies are just 8-11 (.421) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.

The Rockies are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of just .234 (176 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .173 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 24% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .475 (176 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have chased 39% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have struck out in 30% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have a swing rate of 40% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 19% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .283 against Diamondbacks pitchers with runners on base this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 4.83 (387.1 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.42 (171.0 IP) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in the first 5 innings this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.