Dodgers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 5

Houston Astros relief pitcher Steven Okert looks on after earning the save in a 2-1 win in the 12th inning against the Seattle Mariners in a baseball game Tuesday, April 8, 2025, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
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  • The Dodgers are -220 favorites vs the Astros
  • Dodgers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Dodgers / Astros TV Channel: TBS | SNLA | SCHN

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-220) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (+180) on May 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Dodgers are 22-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 14-22 ATS.

Dodgers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani 2-1, 0.60 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Peter Lambert 1-2, 3.60 ERA

Dodgers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 -135O 8.5 -120-220
Astros +1.5 +115U 8.5 +100+180

Dodgers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Walks Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.90 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alex Freeland has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Zach Cole Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+13.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.65 Units / 103% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+8.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 away games (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 8% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 17-18 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -4.68% ROI).

  • 22-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -5.8% ROI
  • 16-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -13.31% ROI
  • 19-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 3.52% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 14-22 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -23.17% ROI).

  • 14-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -25.28% ROI
  • 24-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.4 Units / 28.25% ROI
  • 11-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.2 Units / -39.07% ROI

Astros vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez +280
Max Muncy +340
Dalton Rushing +360
Teoscar Hernandez +375
Christian Walker +390

Astros vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Will Smith 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Andy Pages 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Dalton Rushing 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Astros vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Jose Altuve 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Andy Pages 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Dodgers are 7-3 (.700) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Astros (eighth in runs scored).

The Dodgers are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Dodgers are 15-1 (.938) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .783.

The Dodgers are 5-68 (.068) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Astros are 31-24 (.564) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Dodgers (fifth in runs scored).

The Astros are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Astros are just 3-15 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Astros are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.

The Dodgers are batting .293 on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are batting .274 this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .464 at home since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .444 against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .428 (152 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

The Astros are batting .351 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have put just 31% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Astros are batting .289 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Dodgers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (308.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 13% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 5.78 (314.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 3.69 runs per game (133/36) in the first 5 innings this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.