Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 21

Philadelphia Phillies' Kyle Schwarber gestures at home plate after scoring on an RBI single by Nick Castellanos in the first inning of a baseball game against the New York Mets, Saturday, June 21, 2025, in Philadelphia.
(AP Photo/Laurence Kesterson)
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  • The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Dodgers
  • Dodgers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Dodgers / Phillies TV Channel: SNLA | NSPA | TBS

The Los Angeles Dodgers (+110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-135) on July 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Dodgers are against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are ATS.

Dodgers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Justin Wrobleski 10-2, 2.70 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 10-1, 2.13 ERA

Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers+1.5 -190O 9 -120+110
Phillies -1.5 +155U 9 +100-135

Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+15.80 Units / 158% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+13.45 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Justin Wrobleski has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+32.10 Units / 401% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 away games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 away games (+4.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+6.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+4.95 Units / 26% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Phillies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Shohei Ohtani +200
Kyle Schwarber +200
Max Muncy +280
Bryce Harper +325
Freddie Freeman +333

Phillies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Alec Bohm 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Edmundo Sosa 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Bryce Harper 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Phillies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddie Freeman 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Bryce Harper 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Tommy Edman 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Trea Turner 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Dodgers are 41-4 (.911) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Dodgers are 32-19 (.627) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Dodgers are 63-38 (.624) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 24-8 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .630.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Phillies are 11-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

The Phillies are 41-1 (.976) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Phillies are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 11-40 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .362 (2,084 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .808 (2,084 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers are batting .275 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .774 (3,893 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .220 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .754 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .285 (1,916 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .455 (2,060 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.45 (440.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.