- The Dodgers are -170 favorites vs the Pirates
- Dodgers vs Pirates Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Pirates TV Channel: SNLA | SNPT
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-170) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+140) on June 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Dodgers are 43-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 34-33 ATS.
Dodgers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Justin Wrobleski 7-2, 2.61 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 5-3, 4.83 ERA
Dodgers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +100 | O 9.5 -115 | -170 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -120 | U 9.5 -105 | +140 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+12.40 Units / 177% ROI)
- Alex Freeland has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 82% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ryan Ward has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.80 Units / 111% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+11.50 Units / 128% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.55 Units / 95% ROI)
- Endy Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.30 Units / 74% ROI)
- Endy Rodriguez has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Endy Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.05 Units / 63% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 away games (+13.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+9.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 away games (+9.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+4.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 50 games at home (+2.90 Units / 5% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 35-33 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 1.3% ROI).
- 43-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -3.64% ROI
- 30-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -16.03% ROI
- 38-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 6.85% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 34-33 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 2.48% ROI).
- 35-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -4.5% ROI
- 39-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.15 Units / 12.17% ROI
- 27-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.65 Units / -21.03% ROI
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Dodgers are 21-6 (.778) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Pirates (21st runs allowed).
The Dodgers are 16-8 (.667) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Dodgers are 16-1 (.941) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Dodgers are 21-3 (.875) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Pirates are 29-4 (.879) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Pirates are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Pirates are just 18-46 (.281) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face Dodgers (first in runs allowed).
The Pirates are just 14-38 (.269) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .360.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .361 (1,386 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.
The Dodgers are batting .276 on the road this season — best in MLB.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .806 (1,386 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (2,614 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting .321 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.
The Pirates are hitting .329 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of .762 (1,920 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of .264 (1,438 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Dodgers have allowed 1.75 runs per game (119/68) in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.24 (599.1 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have allowed 62 home runs this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .285 (614 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% in the first 5 innings this season — 5th best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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