Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 1

Arizona Diamondbacks' Pavin Smith rounds the bases after his two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Sunday, June 11, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
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  • The Giants are +100 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Giants vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Giants / Diamondbacks TV Channel: NSBA | DBTV

The San Francisco Giants (+100) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on July 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Giants are 35-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 46-37 ATS.

Giants vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Trevor McDonald 2-6, 4.88 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 3-7, 6.18 ERA

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +155O 9.5 -115+100
Diamondbacks +1.5 -190U 9.5 -105-120

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+22.00 Units / 367% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+9.95 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.85 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+19.30 Units / 322% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 away games (+1.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games at home (+19.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+15.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+5.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 38-46 against the Run Line (-20.6 Units / -17.37% ROI).

  • 35-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -14.04% ROI
  • 38-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -6.55% ROI
  • 40-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -1.88% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 46-37 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.66% ROI).

  • 43-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -1.05% ROI
  • 35-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.35 Units / -15.3% ROI
  • 45-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.85 Units / 7.34% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Rafael Devers +350
Ketel Marte +380
Corbin Carroll +425
Casey Schmitt +475
Heliot Ramos +525

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Bryce Eldridge 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Heliot Ramos 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Rafael Devers 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drew Cavanaugh 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jonah Cox 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Casey Schmitt 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Heliot Ramos 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -190 0.5 +138

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are just 1-37 (.026) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The Giants are just 10-45 (.182) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Giants are just 17-28 (.378) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Giants are just 35-50 (.412) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.

The Diamondbacks are 22-8 (.733) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Giants (24th in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks are just 101-16 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Diamondbacks are just 90-23 (.796) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.

The Giants are batting .263 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters are slugging .306 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

31% of Giants hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 16% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .774 (872 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

9% of Diamondbacks’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (287/3,160 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Giants pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.