Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 20

Arizona Diamondbacks' Pavin Smith rounds the bases after his two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Sunday, June 11, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
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  • The Diamondbacks are -135 favorites vs the Giants
  • Giants vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Giants / Diamondbacks TV Channel: NSBA | DBTV

The San Francisco Giants (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-135) on May 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Giants are 20-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 29-17 ATS.

Giants vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 1-5, 5.64 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 3-3, 5.86 ERA

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants+1.5 -185O 8.5 +100+110
Diamondbacks -1.5 +150U 8.5 -130-135

Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+20.00 Units / 400% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.50 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Adrian Del Castillo has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+9.30 Units / 186% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+2.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 30 games at home (+17.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+10.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 20-28 against the Run Line (-19 Units / -26.78% ROI).

  • 20-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -12.24% ROI
  • 21-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -11.93% ROI
  • 25-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 3.72% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 29-17 against the Run Line (+7.5 Units / 11.35% ROI).

  • 24-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 3.13% ROI
  • 24-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 1.93% ROI
  • 21-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -10.08% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Rafael Devers +390
Ketel Marte +425
Corbin Carroll +425
Willy Adames +475
Matt Chapman +550

Diamondbacks vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ketel Marte 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Casey Schmitt 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Diamondbacks vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Willy Adames 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Eric Haase 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Harrison Bader 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Giants are just 14-5 (.737) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The Giants are just 5-27 (.156) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Giants are just 20-26 (.435) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Giants are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Diamondbacks are 5-15 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Diamondbacks are just 78-21 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.

The Diamondbacks are 7-84 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Diamondbacks are just 86-15 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,808 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants are hitting .356 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — best in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 6% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .278 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 24% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .341 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 55% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 48 double plays in 357 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.