Giants vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 17

Washington Nationals right fielder James Wood jogs off the field during a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies, Friday, Sept. 27, 2024, in Washington. (AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
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  • The Giants are -160 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Giants vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Giants / Nationals TV Channel: NSBA | NATV | WTTG

The San Francisco Giants (-160) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+135) on April 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.

This season, the Giants are 7-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 11-7 ATS.

Giants vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 1-2, 5.25 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Zack Littell 0-1, 4.20 ERA

Giants vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +105O 8 -110-160
Nationals +1.5 -130U 8 -110+135

Giants vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Drew Gilbert has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+19.70 Units / 219% ROI)
  • Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Zack Littell has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 40 away games (+3.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+3.75 Units / 7% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 6-12 against the Run Line (-11.1 Units / -39.86% ROI).

  • 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -26.3% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -3.57% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -3.61% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 11-7 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 11.2% ROI).

  • 9-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 22.4% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 30.79% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -39.71% ROI

Nationals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Rafael Devers +333
Matt Chapman +375
Casey Schmitt +600
James Wood +650
Luis Garcia Jr. +875

Nationals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Garcia Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Willy Adames 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Matt Chapman 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Rafael Devers 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Brady House 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Nationals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willy Adames 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Casey Schmitt 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Matt Chapman 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Logan Webb 4.5 -155 4.5 +115
Patrick Bailey 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Giants were just 65-6 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Giants are just 72-6 (.923) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Giants are just 7-12 (.368) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Giants are just 0-9 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Nationals are just 1-5 (.167) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .565.

The Nationals are just 32-54 (.368) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .545.

The Nationals are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants batted just .214 against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .285 (1,814 PA’s) against LHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .631 (1,623 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Giants hitters slugged just .351 against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are batting .306 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters had an OBP of just .286 (1,704 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals won only 40% of their home games in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .464 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers in the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.91 (169.0 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 7.85 (55.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.40 (1593.2 IP) since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 8.33 runs per game (50/6) at home this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.