Giants vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 21

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  • The Giants are -115 favorites vs the Royals
  • Giants vs Royals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Giants / Royals TV Channel: NSBA | RYTV

The San Francisco Giants (-115) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on July 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Giants are against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are ATS.

Giants vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 2-8, 5.36 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Luinder Avila 4-3, 5.18 ERA

Giants vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +145O 9.5 -110-115
Royals +1.5 -175U 9.5 -110-105

Giants vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+15.80 Units / 198% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Bryce Eldridge has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Bryce Eldridge has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+8.70 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+17.00 Units / 340% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+12.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Isaac Collins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Isaac Collins has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Isaac Collins has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 away games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+6.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.85 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.20 Units / 43% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Royals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Rafael Devers +310
Willy Adames +390
Casey Schmitt +425
Bryce Eldridge +450
Jac Caglianone +450

Royals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Heliot Ramos 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jac Caglianone 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Rafael Devers 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Bryce Eldridge 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Tyler Tolbert 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Royals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rafael Devers 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Willy Adames 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Heliot Ramos 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Lane Thomas 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Isaac Collins 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Giants are just 1-42 (.023) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Giants are just 7-13 (.350) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Royals (20th in runs scored).

The Giants are just 1-46 (.021) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Giants are just 42-58 (.420) this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Royals are just 33-6 (.846) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Royals are just 32-8 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Royals are just 3-44 (.064) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Royals are just 6-26 (.188) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.

Giants hitters are slugging .435 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Giants are batting .259 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Giants hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s this season — lowest in MLB.

The Giants have scored 44 runs in close and late situations this season — fewest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .232 with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .186 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 41% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 34% on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Giants pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB.

Giants pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Giants pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 5.43 (424.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.