• The Brewers are -125 favorites vs the Guardians
• Guardians vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Guardians / Brewers TV Channel: GDTV | BRTV

The Cleveland Guardians (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on June 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Guardians are 39-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 40-30 ATS.

Guardians vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 9-3, 3.31 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Sproat 1-4, 5.67 ERA

Guardians vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Gabriel Arias has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+11.00 Units / 183% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• Gavin Williams has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 31% ROI)
• Travis Bazzana has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 74% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+15.05 Units / 251% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.15 Units / 42% ROI)
• Andrew Vaughn has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+7.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+7.35 Units / 22% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 50 away games (+16.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+16.45 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.65 Units / 9% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+14.90 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+12.95 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+10.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.90 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 36-36 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.7% ROI).

• 39-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 4.81% ROI
• 35-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -8.08% ROI
• 38-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -1.05% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 40-30 against the Run Line (+14.45 Units / 17.4% ROI).

• 44-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 10.19% ROI
• 32-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -11.33% ROI
• 37-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 2.53% ROI

Brewers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Guardians are just 1-24 (.040) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Guardians are 11-2 (.846) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Guardians are 46-7 (.852) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .745.

The Guardians are 63-53 (.538) on the road since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Brewers are 8-19 (.296) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Brewers are 28-14 (.667) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Brewers are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 37-7 (.841) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are hitting just .172 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — lowest in MLB.

9% of Guardians’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (256/2,733 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .367 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .385 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have a groundball rate of 50% this season — highest in MLB.

The Brewers have scored 1.87 runs per game (131/70) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .249 with two outs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.54 (145.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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