• The Brewers are -155 favorites vs the Guardians
• Guardians vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Guardians / Brewers TV Channel: GDTV | BRTV

The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-155) on June 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Guardians are 39-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 41-30 ATS.

Guardians vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Parker Messick 6-3, 2.71 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Shane Drohan 3-2, 3.59 ERA

Guardians vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Travis Bazzana has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• Travis Bazzana has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• Brayan Rocchio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+19.75 Units / 282% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.40 Units / 54% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.65 Units / 59% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 away games (+16.45 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 50 away games (+16.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+15.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+17.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+15.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.20 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 36-37 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -2.8% ROI).

• 39-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 3.62% ROI
• 36-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -6.73% ROI
• 38-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -2.38% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 41-30 against the Run Line (+16.15 Units / 19.21% ROI).

• 45-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units / 11.06% ROI
• 33-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -9.89% ROI
• 37-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 1.09% ROI

Brewers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Guardians are 20-14 (.588) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Guardians are 11-2 (.846) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Guardians are just 1-26 (.037) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.

The Guardians are just 7-16 (.304) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Brewers (second in runs scored).

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Brewers are 8-19 (.296) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Brewers are 7-19 (.269) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .138.

The Brewers are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 30-14 (.682) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

The Guardians are hitting just .172 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .365 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .222 against starting pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are 8-19 (.296) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .380 (816 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of .754 (1,957 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.54 (145.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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