• The Rays are -150 favorites vs the Guardians
• Guardians vs Rays Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
• Guardians / Rays TV Channel: TBS | tru | HBOM

The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-150) on October 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Guardians are 90-82 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 90-77 ATS.

Guardians vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Guardians starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 11-11, 4.22 ERA

Guardians vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Guardians vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Guardians vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

• Patrick Bailey has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+14.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• Chase DeLauter has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+12.15 Units / 81% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• No trends found

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+5.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+4.55 Units / 14% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+13.35 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.15 Units / 24% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 81-90 against the Run Line (-14.85 Units / -6.75% ROI).

• 90-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -0.92% ROI
• 82-88 when betting on the total runs Over for -14 Units / -7.46% ROI
• 88-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -1.6% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 90-77 against the Run Line (+22.8 Units / 11.04% ROI).

• 104-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +25.3 Units / 11.47% ROI
• 77-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.35 Units / -9.3% ROI
• 86-77 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 0.51% ROI

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Guardians were 62-5 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2026 season — 5th best in MLB.

The Guardians were 20-21 (.488) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2026 season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Guardians are 128-10 (.928) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Rays were 39-6 (.867) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2026 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays were 96-51 (.653) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

The Rays were 13-51 (.203) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2026 season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays were 83-20 (.806) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends

Guardians hitters slugged just .361 against LHP in the 2026 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians batted just .230 against LHP in the 2026 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .652 (1,909 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2026 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Guardians batted just .238 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2026 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters slugged .281 on pitches out of the zone in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

The Rays batted .203 on pitches out of the zone in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters missed on just 21% of swings in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

The Rays batted .266 with two outs in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends

Guardians pitchers had a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2026 season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers in the 2026 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a first-pitch strike rate of 65% in the 2026 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2026 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers threw at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 68% of opposing batters in the 2026 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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