Guardians vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 12

Detroit Tigers' Spencer Torkelson celebrates his three-run home run against the Kansas City Royals in the seventh inning of a baseball game, Thursday, Sept. 28, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Tigers are -125 favorites vs the Guardians
  • Guardians vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Guardians / Tigers TV Channel: GDTV | DSN

The Cleveland Guardians (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on August 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Guardians are 58-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 56-58 ATS.

Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 4-12, 4.02 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Holton 1-4, 2.80 ERA

Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians+1.5 -200O 8 -110+105
Tigers -1.5 +165U 8 -110-125

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Brayan Rocchio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.55 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Brayan Rocchio has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+11.85 Units / 118% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 away games (+3.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 away games (+2.40 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+18.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 56-63 against the Run Line (-11.15 Units / -7.21% ROI).

  • 58-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -6.41% ROI
  • 58-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -7.4% ROI
  • 62-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -1.88% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 56-58 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -2.32% ROI).

  • 59-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -7.55% ROI
  • 52-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -11.34% ROI
  • 61-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 3.3% ROI

Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Eduardo Valencia +280
Spencer Torkelson +310
Dillon Dingler +340
Jo Adell +400
Gleyber Torres +450

Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Steven Kwan 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Chase DeLauter 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Rhys Hoskins 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Max Clark 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jo Adell 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Eduardo Valencia 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Guardians are just 1-5 (.167) this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are just 1-5 (.167) since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are just 1-5 (.167) since the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Guardians were 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Tigers were just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Tigers were 39-4 (.907) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

The Tigers were just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Guardians are batting just .219 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .217 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .546 (310 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .381 against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have been successful in just 50% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .225 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have 121 extra-base hits out of 330 total hits (37%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Tigers pitchers this season traveled 422.0 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB

Tigers pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.