- The Guardians are -118 favorites vs the White Sox
- Guardians vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / White Sox TV Channel: TBS | tru | HBOM
The Cleveland Guardians (-118) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-102) on October 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Guardians are 86-79 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 94-70 ATS.
Guardians vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Parker Messick 12-10, 2.62 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Hagen Smith 3-3, 1.31 ERA
Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -120 | -118 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 +100 | -102 |
Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+14.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+28.00 Units / 311% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Colson Montgomery has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Braden Montgomery has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.10 Units / 59% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 78-86 against the Run Line (-12.6 Units / -6% ROI).
- 86-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -1.61% ROI
- 79-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -6.93% ROI
- 84-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -2.07% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 94-70 against the Run Line (+9.75 Units / 4.18% ROI).
- 88-79 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.6 Units / 7.32% ROI
- 96-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +19.8 Units / 10.77% ROI
- 69-96 when betting on the total runs Under for -36.7 Units / -19.98% ROI
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 20-21 (.488) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Guardians are 62-5 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians were just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are 12-7 (.632) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.
The White Sox are 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox were just 40-103 (.280) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .230 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .361 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Guardians are batting just .238 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .652 (1,909 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have grounded into 73 double plays in 1,175 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB.
White Sox hitters have 151 extra-base hits out of 378 total hits (40%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.
White Sox hitters have 75 extra-base hits out of 155 total hits (48%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.
The White Sox are batting just .217 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
The White Sox have won 46% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (462.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The White Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH this season (4,095 balls in play) — tied for 4th highest in MLB
More MLB Reading:
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