- The Yankees are -170 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Yankees TV Channel: GDTV | YES
The Cleveland Guardians (+140) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-170) on June 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Guardians are 36-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 30-30 ATS.
Guardians vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 3-5, 5.29 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 1-2, 3.32 ERA
Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -118 | +140 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -102 | -170 |
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Travis Bazzana has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+13.00 Units / 186% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 69% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rice has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 away games (+19.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 45 away games (+16.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 away games (+15.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+4.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+4.05 Units / 4% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 31-32 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -1.02% ROI).
- 36-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 11.53% ROI
- 32-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -2.48% ROI
- 31-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -6.7% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 30-30 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 7.82% ROI).
- 36-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -3.67% ROI
- 28-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -7.69% ROI
- 30-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -1.56% ROI
Yankees vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Ben Rice | +200 |
| Trent Grisham | +280 |
| Jose Ramirez | +310 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | +310 |
| Cody Bellinger | +333 |
Yankees vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ben Rice | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Chase DeLauter | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brayan Rocchio | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Trent Grisham | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Chase DeLauter | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 10-2 (.833) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Guardians are 19-13 (.594) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Guardians are just 1-21 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 3-19 (.136) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Yankees are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .754.
The Yankees are 21-2 (.913) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Yankees are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .788.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .368 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Guardians are batting just .165 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB.
Guardians hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.
Guardians hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .468 at home this season — best in MLB.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 15% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.
Yankees hitters are slugging .706 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .806 (742 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in late innings this season — best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (288.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Yankees pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .351 this season — 3rd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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