Mariners vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 13

Houston Astros relief pitcher Steven Okert looks on after earning the save in a 2-1 win in the 12th inning against the Seattle Mariners in a baseball game Tuesday, April 8, 2025, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
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  • The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Astros
  • Mariners vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
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The Seattle Mariners (-125) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (+105) on May 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Mariners are against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are ATS.

Mariners vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers 2-3, 7.35 ERA

Mariners vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +130O 9 -105-125
Astros +1.5 -155U 9 -115+105

Mariners vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+11.60 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.10 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Cole Young has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Cole Young has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Braden Shewmake has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+16.00 Units / 320% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.45 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+10.05 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 away games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.25 Units / 48% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Astros vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez +230
Cal Raleigh +250
Julio Rodriguez +310
Christian Walker +325
Zach Cole +340

Astros vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jose Altuve 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Josh Naylor 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Christian Walker 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Astros vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Christian Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Cole Young 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Dominic Canzone 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Mariners are 9-3 (.750) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Astros (ninth in runs scored).

The Mariners are 15-5 (.750) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Astros (29th runs allowed).

The Mariners are 6-78 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .044.

The Mariners are 23-14 (.622) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Astros are just 16-24 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Astros are just 4-20 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Astros are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Astros are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .280 (477 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .200 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .147 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .645 (719 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Astros are batting .344 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .418 (177 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

The Astros are batting .278 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .784 (870 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 70% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 3.64 runs per game (153/42) in the first 5 innings this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 13% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 5.50 (366.1 IP) this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.