• The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Pirates
• Mariners vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mariners / Pirates TV Channel: MRTV | SNPT

The Seattle Mariners (-150) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) on June 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Mariners are 41-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 39-39 ATS.

Mariners vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 3-1, 1.58 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Bubba Chandler 2-7, 4.61 ERA

Mariners vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mariners vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Colt Emerson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+14.90 Units / 166% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+13.10 Units / 60% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.80 Units / 49% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• Cole Young has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.95 Units / 39% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+11.20 Units / 140% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+8.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 31% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.45 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.85 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 30 away games (+4.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 23 away games (+2.35 Units / 9% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+11.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+2.65 Units / 5% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 31-50 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -11.9% ROI).

• 41-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -10.28% ROI
• 39-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -4.3% ROI
• 39-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -4.16% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 39-39 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI).

• 40-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -8.06% ROI
• 45-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.85 Units / 11.17% ROI
• 32-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.25 Units / -19.64% ROI

Pirates vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Mariners are 17-9 (.654) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Pirates (fifth in runs scored).

The Mariners are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Mariners are 27-13 (.675) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Pirates (23rd runs allowed).

The Mariners are 109-35 (.757) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Pirates are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Pirates are just 16-23 (.410) after a win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Pirates are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Pirates are just 19-48 (.284) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face Mariners (fifth in runs allowed).

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mariners are batting just .208 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .617 (878 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .326 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 160 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .355 (1,599 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 483 of their 1,379 plate appearances (35%) versus relief pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have 53 extra-base hits out of 186 total hits (just 28%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have allowed 77 home runs this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

The Pirates have allowed 1.71 runs per game (137/80) in late innings this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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