• The Braves are -155 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mets / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | SNY

The New York Mets (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-155) on August 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Mets are 52-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 62-55 ATS.

Mets vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 8-7, 3.51 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: AJ Smith-Shawver 0-0, 4.16 ERA

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+19.00 Units / 271% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Christian Scott has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 63% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+21.45 Units / 107% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+17.20 Units / 191% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+12.55 Units / 63% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 41% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.90 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.95 Units / 48% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+14.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games at home (+14.55 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+9.55 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 87% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 54-63 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -6.01% ROI).

• 52-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.75 Units / -20.11% ROI
• 53-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -7.13% ROI
• 56-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -2.04% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 62-55 against the Run Line (+14.1 Units / 10.39% ROI).

• 71-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.45 Units / 7.14% ROI
• 55-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -5.89% ROI
• 57-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -1.98% ROI

Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves were 73-4 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Braves were just 21-74 (.221) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .656 (1,403 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 31 extra-base hits out of 123 total hits (just 25%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,247 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .694 (4,481 PA’s) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have an OPS of .553 (2,358 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .255 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves have a winning percentage of 66% at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 197 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

The Mets have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 225 times this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

The Braves have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Braves have still managed to win 32% of the time this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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