• The Mets are -105 favorites vs the Braves
• Mets vs Braves Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Mets / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | WPIX

The New York Mets (-105) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-115) on July 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Mets are 36-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 44-40 ATS.

Mets vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 2-0, 3.20 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 4-4, 3.96 ERA

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+22.90 Units / 229% ROI)
• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 42% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.75 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+18.20 Units / 47% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.10 Units / 59% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 45 away games (+20.40 Units / 40% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 away games (+16.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.75 Units / 65% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 30 games at home (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 40 games at home (+1.30 Units / 3% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 36-49 against the Run Line (-11.95 Units / -11.57% ROI).

• 36-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -29 Units / -26% ROI
• 39-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -5.78% ROI
• 40-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -3.46% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-40 against the Run Line (+9.3 Units / 9.72% ROI).

• 50-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 3.78% ROI
• 39-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -5.16% ROI
• 40-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -2.47% ROI

Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets are just 18-32 (.360) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Mets are just 17-27 (.386) on the road this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Mets are just 32-45 (.416) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Mets are just 36-51 (.414) this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

The Braves are 21-13 (.618) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Braves are 50-35 (.588) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .606 (1,000 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .601 (800 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .672 (3,238 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .375 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 597 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .418 on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .252 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Mets pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers this season traveled 494.7 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

The Braves have allowed 0.91 runs per game (77/85) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have won 47% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.49 (753.2 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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