• The Cubs are -140 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Cubs Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
• Mets / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | WPIX

The New York Mets (+115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-140) on April 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Mets are 7-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 7-11 ATS.

Mets vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 0-2, 7.25 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 1-0, 1.62 ERA

Mets vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+16.50 Units / 56% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 34% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.10 Units / 36% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.85 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Dansby Swanson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+17.30 Units / 173% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.45 Units / 42% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.30 Units / 44% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 58% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 25% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+7.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 7-12 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -19.85% ROI).

• 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -38.29% ROI
• 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -9.24% ROI
• 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 1.21% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 7-11 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -19.19% ROI).

• 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -15.16% ROI
• 11-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 23.48% ROI
• 6-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -30.65% ROI

Cubs vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mets are just 0-80 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.

The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cubs are 42-9 (.824) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .637.

The Cubs are 74-19 (.796) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .639.

The Cubs were 48-6 (.889) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Cubs are just 2-6 (.250) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .464 (200 PA’s) over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .286 (716 PA’s) this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 47% in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters slugged .434 against LHP in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .754 (1,828 PA’s) against LHP since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .351 (239 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .769 (239 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (86.2 IP) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers picked-off 27 runners in the 2025 season — most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers picked-off 25 runners from first base in the 2025 season — most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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