Mets vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 1

Seattle Mariners left fielder Randy Arozarena throws to the infield during the third inning of a spring training baseball game against the Colorado Rockies Sunday, March 2, 2025, in Scottsdale, Ariz.
(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
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  • The Mariners are -145 favorites vs the Mets
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The New York Mets (+118) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-145) on June 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Mets are 26-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 23-37 ATS.

Mets vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Austin Warren 1-1, 1.42 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 4-2, 2.81 ERA

Mets vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -190O 7 -120+118
Mariners -1.5 +155U 7 +100-145

Mets vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+15.05 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.55 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 58% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+28.50 Units / 285% ROI)
  • Cole Young has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Rob Refsnyder has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Rob Refsnyder has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 away games (+17.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 away games (+15.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 63% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 23-35 against the Run Line (-10.3 Units / -15.43% ROI).

  • 26-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.55 Units / -24.53% ROI
  • 25-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -11.14% ROI
  • 29-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 1.85% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 23-37 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -12.96% ROI).

  • 31-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -9.87% ROI
  • 27-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -10.53% ROI
  • 31-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 1.97% ROI

Mariners vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Juan Soto +300
Julio Rodriguez +400
Mark Vientos +550
Randy Arozarena +550
Jared Young +550

Mariners vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Bo Bichette 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Juan Soto 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Carson Benge 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Mariners vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mark Vientos 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Carson Benge 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Colt Emerson 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Rob Refsnyder 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Mets are 6-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Mets are just 1-97 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Mets are 33-4 (.892) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Mariners are 6-84 (.067) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Mariners are 25-15 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners were 10-56 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Mariners are 139-23 (.858) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .596 (674 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .284 (1,077 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 53 runs in late innings this season — fewest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .358 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .205 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .329 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .285 (664 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .649 (706 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 30 double plays in 412 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.