- The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mets / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | SNY
The New York Mets (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on June 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 pm in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Mets are 26-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 24-38 ATS.
Mets vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 3-4, 3.59 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 5-4, 3.76 ERA
Mets vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -130 | +125 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +154 | U 7.5 +105 | -150 |
Mets vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+18.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+17.50 Units / 219% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.45 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colt Emerson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+21.00 Units / 262% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.65 Units / 78% ROI)
- Cole Young has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Walks Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- George Kirby has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+7.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 45 away games (+20.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 away games (+16.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 62% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.25 Units / 53% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 24-36 against the Run Line (-10.95 Units / -15.55% ROI).
- 26-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.55 Units / -26.38% ROI
- 26-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -11.05% ROI
- 30-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 1.65% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 24-38 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -11.86% ROI).
- 33-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -7.24% ROI
- 28-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -10.47% ROI
- 32-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 1.76% ROI
Mariners vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Juan Soto | +270 |
| Julio Rodriguez | +320 |
| Luke Raley | +390 |
| Josh Naylor | +425 |
| Jared Young | +475 |
Mariners vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Carson Benge | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Carson Benge | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Colt Emerson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Mets are just 2-10 (.167) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Mariners (fifth in runs allowed).
The Mets are 6-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Mets are just 18-5 (.783) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Mets are just 11-23 (.324) after a loss this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Mariners are just 5-14 (.263) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Mets (24th in runs scored).
The Mariners are 19-4 (.826) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Mariners are 70-52 (.574) after a win since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Mariners are 25-15 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .586 (693 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .650 (2,259 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.
The Mets have scored 53 runs in innings 7-9 this season — fewest in MLB.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .605 (1,355 PA’s) with bases empty this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .206 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .622 (698 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .284 (698 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are just 4-15 (.211) against the run line (-50.4% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Mets (24th in runs scored).
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .225 against Mets pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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