• The Mets are -145 favorites vs the Nationals
• Mets vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Mets / Nationals TV Channel: SNY | NATV

The New York Mets (-145) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+120) on May 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Mets are 21-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 28-19 ATS.

Mets vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 2-2, 2.95 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 4-2, 3.53 ERA

Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+9.00 Units / 180% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jacob Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+28.00 Units / 280% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+14.78 Units / 58% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jose Tena has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 50% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+6.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+7.75 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.15 Units / 12% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 19-27 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -11.6% ROI).

• 21-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -25.02% ROI
• 19-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -14.81% ROI
• 24-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 5.22% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 28-19 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 4.87% ROI).

• 23-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 12.83% ROI
• 30-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.8 Units / 26.16% ROI
• 15-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.9 Units / -33.84% ROI

Nationals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Mets are just 13-4 (.765) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.

The Mets are 13-1 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Mets are 8-1 (.889) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Mets are just 1-91 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Nationals are just 8-15 (.348) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.

The Nationals are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Nationals are just 16-5 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.

The Nationals are 18-3 (.857) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .549 (396 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .196 with two outs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .653 (1,768 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .445 (882 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals are batting just .183 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 2.10 runs per game (101/48) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

The Nationals are batting .274 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .360 (532 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.65 runs per game (153/23) at home this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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