• The Mets are -135 favorites vs the Phillies
• Mets vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mets / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | SNY

The New York Mets (-135) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+110) on July 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Mets are 41-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 38-60 ATS.

Mets vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 6-6, 3.53 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Alan Rangel 0-2, 4.19 ERA

Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• A.J. Ewing has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.40 Units / 174% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+7.70 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+27.90 Units / 465% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+11.05 Units / 54% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 50 away games (+20.70 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 away games (+19.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.45 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.25 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.30 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+6.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 41-56 against the Run Line (-14.25 Units / -12.04% ROI).

• 41-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.3 Units / -25.54% ROI
• 45-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -5.71% ROI
• 46-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -3.55% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 38-60 against the Run Line (-27.85 Units / -23.89% ROI).

• 55-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.17% ROI
• 41-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.25 Units / -16.71% ROI
• 54-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.35 Units / 8.61% ROI

Phillies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Mets are just 7-26 (.212) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Mets are just 29-7 (.806) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Mets are just 12-53 (.185) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Mets are just 36-50 (.419) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Phillies are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .784.

The Phillies are 40-1 (.976) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Phillies are 5-41 (.109) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Phillies are 28-4 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .752.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .640 (1,155 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 102 total hits (just 26%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,876 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .683 (2,660 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .285 (1,916 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .740 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .646 (1,916 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .225 (2,023 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 48 double plays in 694 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 164 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (2,401 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (2,401 balls in play) — best in MLB

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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