• The Phillies are -190 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Mets / Phillies TV Channel: FOX

The New York Mets (+155) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-190) on June 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Mets are 34-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 27-47 ATS.

Mets vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-5, 3.94 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 8-3, 1.81 ERA

Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 62.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Mark Vientos has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 38% ROI)
• Mark Vientos has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Walks Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 59% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+11.10 Units / 222% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.85 Units / 39% ROI)
• Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.20 Units / 50% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 away games (+16.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+13.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.10 Units / 18% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+13.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.05 Units / 16% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 31-43 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -11.25% ROI).

• 34-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.5 Units / -20.8% ROI
• 33-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -7.19% ROI
• 35-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -2.07% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 27-47 against the Run Line (-22.9 Units / -26.29% ROI).

• 40-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -3.96% ROI
• 32-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -14.32% ROI
• 40-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.2 Units / 6.32% ROI

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Mets are just 30-38 (.441) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Mets are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Mets are 17-6 (.739) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

The Mets are 24-2 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Phillies are just 3-15 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.

The Phillies are 31-1 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .863.

The Phillies are 31-1 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Phillies are 26-2 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .589 (852 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .667 (2,052 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .671 (2,790 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,463 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .274 (1,305 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .621 (1,305 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .209 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .218 (1,513 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 124 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have an ERA of 3.60 (339.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .284 (672 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (1,858 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.5 MPH this season (1,858 balls in play) — best in MLB

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .288 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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