Mets vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 23

Texas Rangers' Corey Seager hits a two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the second inning in Game 4 of the baseball World Series Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
World Series Betting Promos
  • The Mets are -110 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Mets vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Mets / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | SNY

The New York Mets (-110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-110) on September 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Mets are 72-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 72-81 ATS.

Mets vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 11-10, 3.20 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Cody Bradford 0-5, 4.19 ERA

Mets vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-1.5 +155O 7.5 -110-110
Rangers +1.5 -190U 7.5 -110-110

Mets vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Torrens has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+14.00 Units / 233% ROI)
  • Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Carson Benge has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.85 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Carson Benge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Nolan McLean has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.15 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.50 Units / 270% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+11.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 away games (+11.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 away games (+11.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+13.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 71-84 against the Run Line (-17.25 Units / -8.74% ROI).

  • 72-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.35 Units / -14.19% ROI
  • 73-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -3.53% ROI
  • 71-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.4 Units / -5.49% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 72-81 against the Run Line (-16.75 Units / -8.18% ROI).

  • 78-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -5.67% ROI
  • 81-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.8 Units / 4.5% ROI
  • 67-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.3 Units / -12.36% ROI

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mets are just 55-36 (.604) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 7-65 (.097) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 35-11 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Rangers are just 2-69 (.028) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are 67-3 (.957) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Rangers are just 9-43 (.173) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are just 32-37 (.464) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Mets (18th fewest runs allowed).

The Mets are batting just .231 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 153 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have a winning percentage of just 44% at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .492 (3,127 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging .428 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Rangers have won 94% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — highest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .762 (1,743 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Rangers are just 2-69 (.028) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers this season traveled 494.7 feet — — 4th longest in MLB

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .284 against Mets pitchers with runners on base this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 4.93 (662.2 IP) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Rangers have won just 30% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.