• The Mets are -125 favorites vs the Reds
• Mets vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Mets / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | SNY

The New York Mets (-125) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+105) on June 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Mets are 32-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 39-31 ATS.

Mets vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 0-4, 9.16 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 2-6, 5.67 ERA

Mets vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+18.40 Units / 263% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.95 Units / 42% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+16.20 Units / 405% ROI)
• Sal Stewart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+15.70 Units / 55% ROI)
• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.15 Units / 34% ROI)
• Brady Singer has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.35 Units / 66% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 away games (+18.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 away games (+15.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+6.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 100% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 29-42 against the Run Line (-11 Units / -13.07% ROI).

• 32-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.4 Units / -22.53% ROI
• 32-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -7.35% ROI
• 34-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.96% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 39-31 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -0.92% ROI).

• 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -5.16% ROI
• 43-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.15 Units / 16.7% ROI
• 27-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.8 Units / -25.56% ROI

Reds vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Mets are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .781.

The Mets are just 28-37 (.431) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Mets are 22-2 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Mets are just 15-24 (.385) after a loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Reds are 4-31 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Reds are 29-5 (.853) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .579 (811 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .224 (1,384 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .284 (1,337 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 60 runs in late innings this season — fewest in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

Reds hitters are slugging just .452 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .214 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 120 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 120 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .288 (646 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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