• The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Mets / Yankees TV Channel: YES | WPIX

The New York Mets (+118) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on September 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Mets are 68-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 73-72 ATS.

Mets vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 11-8, 3.08 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 5-3, 3.08 ERA

Mets vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+16.45 Units / 164% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.45 Units / 55% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• Nolan McLean has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 46% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.75 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis García Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+14.75 Units / 148% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 38% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 60% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 49% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 31% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 away games (+9.55 Units / 47% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 away games (+9.35 Units / 44% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+13.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (+8.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.75 Units / 22% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 67-77 against the Run Line (-13.15 Units / -7.2% ROI).

• 68-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.6 Units / -13.11% ROI
• 66-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -5.34% ROI
• 67-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -3.58% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 73-72 against the Run Line (+9.3 Units / 5.59% ROI).

• 84-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -1.37% ROI
• 63-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.2 Units / -14.4% ROI
• 78-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.95 Units / 5.59% ROI

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Mets are just 52-33 (.612) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 33-10 (.767) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 7-60 (.104) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 18-1 (.947) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Yankees are 48-6 (.889) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 54-6 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 11-18 (.379) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 17-19 (.472) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .687 (2,721 PA’s) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .309 (5,492 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 40 extra-base hits out of 142 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .231 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

The Yankees are batting just .222 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .775 (1,748 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .152 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .229 (2,980 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 76 double plays in 1,029 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 250 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.95 (661.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (394.2 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.40 runs per game (255/75) on the road this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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