- The Brewers are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Nationals / Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | NATV
The Washington Nationals (+150) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-185) on April 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Nationals are 5-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 9-4 ATS.
Nationals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 1-0, 2.70 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 1-0, 2.70 ERA
Nationals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -110 | +150 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -110 | -185 |
Nationals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+25.30 Units / 316% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+15.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.85 Units / 72% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 78% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.10 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+6.05 Units / 121% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Walks Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 away games (+11.35 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.30 Units / 62% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+11.20 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+9.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+9.25 Units / 19% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 7-5 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 8.13% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 10-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.75 Units / 47.7% ROI
- 3-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -56.55% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 9-4 against the Run Line (+6.75 Units / 43.13% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 7.38% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 16.38% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -26.92% ROI
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Nationals were just 11-43 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Nationals are just 12-46 (.203) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .360.
The Nationals are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 70-104 (.400) since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Brewers are 79-7 (.919) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Brewers were 79-6 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Brewers were 36-8 (.818) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting .297 with two outs this season — best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .857 (169 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .677 (170 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (8 games) — 2nd best in MLB.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers have scored 42 runs with two outs this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Brewers hitters had a swing rate of just 45% in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Brewers hitters have chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 7.85 (55.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.34 (1424.2 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 8.33 runs per game (50/6) at home this season — tied for highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.38 (1540.2 IP) since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.
Brewers pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.8 MPH (3,916 batted balls) in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
The Brewers pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.8 MPH in the 2025 season (3,916 balls in play) — tied for 3rd best in MLB
More MLB Reading:
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