- The Diamondbacks are -135 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Nationals / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | NATV
The Washington Nationals (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-135) on June 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Nationals are 31-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 38-23 ATS.
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 6-2, 3.76 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 5-3, 5.04 ERA
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -115 | +110 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -105 | -135 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Curtis Mead has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+22.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 55% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+17.30 Units / 192% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+10.75 Units / 90% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 34% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+21.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 35 away games (+18.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 away games (+14.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 45 games at home (+19.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+10.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 39-23 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 10.17% ROI).
- 31-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 12.62% ROI
- 39-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.1 Units / 23.18% ROI
- 21-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.7 Units / -31.36% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 38-23 against the Run Line (+9.9 Units / 11.49% ROI).
- 33-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 5.61% ROI
- 29-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -5.63% ROI
- 30-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -2.42% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | +360 |
| James Wood | +360 |
| Corbin Carroll | +450 |
| CJ Abrams | +500 |
| Nolan Arenado | +525 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Moreno | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| James Wood | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Daylen Lile | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Waldschmidt | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Dylan Crews | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Merrill Kelly | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Curtis Mead | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Nationals are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Nationals are 19-12 (.613) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
The Nationals are just 16-54 (.225) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Nationals are just 31-96 (.244) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Diamondbacks are 6-20 (.231) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Diamondbacks are 20-12 (.625) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Diamondbacks are 13-6 (.684) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Nationals (29th runs allowed).
The Diamondbacks are just 84-22 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .182 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are hitting just .169 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals have scored 1.92 runs per game (121/63) in late innings this season — best in MLB.
The Nationals have scored 1.70 runs per game (107/63) in late innings this season — best in MLB.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .274 on breaking pitches against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season (1,670 balls in play) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 18% of left-handed batters they faced this season — lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Nationals vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
