- The Phillies are -275 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Phillies TV Channel: WCAU | NATV
The Washington Nationals (+220) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-275) on April 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 pm in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Nationals are against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are ATS.
Nationals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Cade Cavalli 0-0, 5.41 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 1-0, 0.00 ERA
Nationals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 71.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jacob Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+31.00 Units / 620% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+13.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.85 Units / 72% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.40 Units / 67% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 49% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 87 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 66 away games (+11.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 76 of their last 136 games (+10.82 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 64 away games (+9.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 57 away games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 117 games (+20.46 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 74 games at home (+20.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 99 games (+9.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals were just 64-79 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals were just 11-43 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Nationals were just 22-76 (.224) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Phillies were 55-26 (.679) at home in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Phillies were 69-5 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Phillies are 27-95 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OBP of .312 (80 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Nationals won only 40% of their home games in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters have a swing rate of 43% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.
Nationals hitters have chased 50% of pitches 95 mph or greater out of the zone this season — highest in MLB.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters had an OPS of .812 (3,038 PA’s) at home in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .600 (10 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for best in MLB.
Phillies hitters are slugging just .197 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals allowed 1.85 runs per game (299/162) in late innings in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.34 (1424.2 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.31 (1459.2 IP) since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
The Phillies pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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