- The Phillies are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Nationals / Phillies TV Channel: NATV | NSP+
The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-175) on March 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Nationals are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 1-2 ATS.
Nationals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Nationals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jacob Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+31.00 Units / 620% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+12.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 55% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 87 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 66 away games (+11.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 76 of their last 136 games (+10.82 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 64 away games (+9.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 57 away games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 117 games (+20.46 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 74 games at home (+20.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 83 games at home (+12.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 99 games (+9.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 2-1 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 29.85% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 95% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 29.23% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -35.82% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 1-2 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -21.67% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -43.48% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 60.61% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -66.67% ROI
Phillies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | +220 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | +300 |
| James Wood (WAS) | +300 |
| Adolis Garcia (PHI) | +400 |
| Daylen Lile (WAS) | +475 |
Phillies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Luis Garcia Jr. (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brady House (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Phillies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Adolis Garcia (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Phillies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Foster Griffin (WSH) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Taijuan Walker (PHI) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -118 |
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Nationals were just 64-79 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals were just 55-3 (.932) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.
The Nationals were just 11-43 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Phillies were 30-22 (.577) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2025 season Today, they face the Nationals (fifth in runs scored).
The Phillies were 42-24 (.636) after a loss in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Phillies are 27-94 (.223) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Nationals hitters drew walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .358 against LHP since the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters slugged .434 against RHP in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
Phillies hitters chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.
Phillies hitters slugged .469 at home in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies hitters had an OBP of just .292 (730 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals allowed 1.85 runs per game (299/162) in late innings in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.26 (689.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.42 (735.1 IP) at home in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Phillies pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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