- The Pirates are -225 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Nationals / Pirates TV Channel: SNPT | NATV
The Washington Nationals (+185) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-225) on April 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Nationals are 7-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 10-5 ATS.
Nationals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Cade Cavalli 0-0, 2.64 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 2-1, 5.25 ERA
Nationals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -120 | O 7 +100 | +185 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +100 | U 7 -120 | -225 |
Nationals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 70.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+23.30 Units / 233% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+18.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 20 away games (+18.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+15.80 Units / 105% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 away games (+14.70 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 14 away games (+10.30 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+13.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.95 Units / 16% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 9-5 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 17.69% ROI).
- 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 22.04% ROI
- 11-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.65 Units / 40.43% ROI
- 4-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -49.4% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 10-5 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 19.91% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 22.62% ROI
- 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 14.33% ROI
- 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -24.4% ROI
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Nationals are just 12-46 (.203) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .360.
The Nationals are 7-2 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals were 8-5 (.615) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals were just 55-3 (.932) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Pirates are just 6-54 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Pirates are just 14-91 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates were just 5-65 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Pirates were just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting .309 against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Nationals hitters drew walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of .857 (200 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Nationals hitters struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates batted just .121 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates batted just .219 against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 7.85 (55.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 8.33 runs per game (50/6) at home this season — tied for highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.59 (790.1 IP) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.34 (1424.2 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 19% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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