• The Reds are -145 favorites vs the Nationals
• Nationals vs Reds Over / Under today: 10 Runs
• Nationals / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-145) on May 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Nationals are 19-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 25-15 ATS.

Nationals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 1-3, 7.45 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 2-2, 5.64 ERA

Nationals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Nationals vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.80 Units / 65% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• Brady House has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+8.60 Units / 108% ROI)
• Miles Mikolas has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.65 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+18.30 Units / 229% ROI)
• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 games (+17.45 Units / 45% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 46% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 34% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+17.00 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 24 away games (+12.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 away games (+11.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 40% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+5.45 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 24-16 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 6.86% ROI).

• 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 10.34% ROI
• 25-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.9 Units / 22% ROI
• 14-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -29.72% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 25-15 against the Run Line (+5.65 Units / 9.34% ROI).

• 22-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 6.47% ROI
• 24-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 13.69% ROI
• 16-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.4 Units / -23.16% ROI

Reds vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Nationals are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Nationals are 13-9 (.591) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Nationals are just 13-5 (.722) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.

The Nationals are 15-3 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Reds are 3-17 (.150) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Reds are 4-13 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .140.

The Reds are 19-4 (.826) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Reds are just 10-65 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals are batting just .176 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .260 (196 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .766 (471 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .273 (835 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .285 (679 PA’s) with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .185 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .198 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.58 runs per game (125/19) at home this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 6.67 (86.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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