• The Reds are -160 favorites vs the Nationals
• Nationals vs Reds Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Nationals / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+135) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-160) on May 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Nationals are against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are ATS.

Nationals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 4-1, 2.12 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 4-1, 2.11 ERA

Nationals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Nationals vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+16.00 Units / 400% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.06 Units / 42% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• Foster Griffin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 8 games (+8.75 Units / 100% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.70 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
• Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 46% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 45% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+18.55 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 30 away games (+14.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.35 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+4.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.75 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Reds vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Nationals are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Nationals are just 14-5 (.737) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.

The Nationals are 16-3 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Nationals are 15-9 (.625) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .459.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Reds are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Reds are 19-4 (.826) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Reds are 4-14 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .137.

The Reds are just 36-37 (.493) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Nationals (29th runs allowed).

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals are batting just .179 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .265 (200 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are batting .271 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .786 (504 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .195 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .285 (730 PA’s) with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .187 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.58 runs per game (125/19) at home this season — highest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 5.60 runs per game (241/43) this season — highest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 6.67 (86.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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