- The Mariners are -155 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Orioles / Mariners TV Channel: MASN | MRTV
The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on June 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Orioles are 34-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 28-45 ATS.
Orioles vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 5-1, 3.07 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 4-4, 3.60 ERA
Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -170 | O 7.5 -115 | +125 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -105 | -155 |
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+16.50 Units / 275% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.20 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colt Emerson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+23.90 Units / 239% ROI)
- Cole Young has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Cole Young has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Cole Young has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Victor Robles has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+2.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 35-38 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -4.85% ROI).
- 34-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -10.97% ROI
- 42-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.1 Units / 13.76% ROI
- 28-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.95 Units / -22.44% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 28-45 against the Run Line (-10 Units / -13.01% ROI).
- 37-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -10.48% ROI
- 36-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -1.37% ROI
- 34-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -6.84% ROI
Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | +270 |
| Pete Alonso | +325 |
| Luke Raley | +375 |
| Julio Rodriguez | +390 |
| Josh Naylor | +450 |
Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cole Young | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Blaze Alexander | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luke Raley | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Orioles are just 6-32 (.158) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Orioles are just 12-20 (.375) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Orioles are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 17-66 (.205) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mariners are 14-8 (.636) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Orioles (eighth in runs scored).
The Mariners are 24-11 (.686) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Orioles (26th runs allowed).
The Mariners are 21-5 (.808) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Mariners are 25-15 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .453 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.
The Orioles are batting just .297 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .632 (787 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .339 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
The Mariners are batting just .214 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .657 (866 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.52 (272.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The Orioles have allowed 5.75 runs per game (184/32) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.
The Orioles have allowed 2.95 runs per game (215/73) in the first 5 innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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