Orioles vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 17

Seattle Mariners left fielder Randy Arozarena throws to the infield during the third inning of a spring training baseball game against the Colorado Rockies Sunday, March 2, 2025, in Scottsdale, Ariz.
(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
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  • The Mariners are -145 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Orioles vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Orioles / Mariners TV Channel: MASN | MRTV

The Baltimore Orioles (+120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-145) on June 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Orioles are 34-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 29-45 ATS.

Orioles vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 3-7, 4.32 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 5-6, 4.06 ERA

Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -185O 7.5 -110+120
Mariners -1.5 +150U 7.5 -110-145

Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+15.50 Units / 221% ROI)
  • Kyle Bradish has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.25 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Colt Emerson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+19.00 Units / 190% ROI)
  • Cole Young has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Cole Young has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Rob Refsnyder has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+4.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+4.35 Units / 23% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 35-39 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -6.57% ROI).

  • 34-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -12.01% ROI
  • 42-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +10 Units / 12.23% ROI
  • 29-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.95 Units / -20.9% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 29-45 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -10.92% ROI).

  • 38-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -9.34% ROI
  • 36-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -2.7% ROI
  • 35-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -5.52% ROI

Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Cal Raleigh +300
Pete Alonso +360
Luke Raley +425
Julio Rodriguez +425
Gunnar Henderson +475

Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Josh Naylor 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Pete Alonso 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Taylor Ward 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Samuel Basallo 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Blaze Alexander 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Pete Alonso 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Leody Taveras 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Orioles are just 6-32 (.158) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Orioles are just 12-20 (.375) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Orioles are just 17-66 (.205) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

The Orioles are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Mariners are 14-8 (.636) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Orioles (eighth in runs scored).

The Mariners are 21-5 (.808) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Mariners are 24-11 (.686) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Orioles (26th runs allowed).

The Mariners are 25-15 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .452 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .155 with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .667 (781 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .136 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .340 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .636 (794 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .216 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters have 40 extra-base hits out of 150 total hits (just 27%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.67 runs per game (187/33) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Orioles pitchers this season traveled 443.2 feet — — 3rd shortest in MLB

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.46 (280.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.