• The Rays are -145 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Orioles / Rays TV Channel: PEAC

The Baltimore Orioles (+120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on August 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:15 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Orioles are 60-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 69-51 ATS.

Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 7-8, 4.24 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-9, 5.38 ERA

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Christian Encarnacio has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+14.72 Units / 164% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+13.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ryan Vilade has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+17.50 Units / 194% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.55 Units / 43% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
• Freddy Peralta has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.80 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 away games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 away games (+5.65 Units / 17% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+16.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+11.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+6.85 Units / 12% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 64-58 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 1.96% ROI).

• 60-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -5.25% ROI
• 62-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -0.48% ROI
• 57-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -7.93% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 69-51 against the Run Line (+26.8 Units / 18.31% ROI).

• 74-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.35 Units / 11.13% ROI
• 54-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.75 Units / -11.07% ROI
• 63-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 2.33% ROI

Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Orioles were just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Orioles were 81-5 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 7-2 (.778) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Rays are 7-2 (.778) this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 7-2 (.778) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

The Rays are 7-2 (.778) since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 51% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .133 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles have an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season — best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .206 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .268 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .285 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.13 (272.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .254 against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 50% of batters they faced (2,357/4,704 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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