Orioles vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 3

Cincinnati Reds' Spencer Steer runs while flying out during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the Houston Astros, Friday, June 16, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/Eric Christian Smith)
Sportsbook PromosNew Player Offer
  • The Orioles are -120 favorites vs the Reds
  • Orioles vs Reds Over / Under today: 10 Runs
  • Orioles / Reds TV Channel: MASN | RDTV

The Baltimore Orioles (-120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+100) on July 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Orioles are 40-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 47-38 ATS.

Orioles vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 5-7, 5.02 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 3-7, 5.15 ERA

Orioles vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles-1.5 +125O 10 -118-120
Reds +1.5 -155U 10 -102+100

Orioles vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Orioles vs Reds and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+12.20 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.80 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Sal Stewart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+12.20 Units / 152% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+4.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 42-45 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -4.69% ROI).

  • 40-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.4 Units / -11.91% ROI
  • 49-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.25 Units / 9.53% ROI
  • 36-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.8 Units / -18.43% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 47-38 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -2.15% ROI).

  • 40-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -5.48% ROI
  • 50-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.25 Units / 11.82% ROI
  • 35-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.6 Units / -20.84% ROI

Reds vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Alonso +200
Gunnar Henderson +250
Eugenio Suarez +270
Sal Stewart +280
Samuel Basallo +300

Reds vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Alonso 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Taylor Ward 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Sal Stewart 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Reds vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Colton Cowser 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Matt McLain 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Taylor Ward 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Pete Alonso 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Orioles are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 8-39 (.170) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Orioles are just 18-68 (.209) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

The Orioles are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 6-38 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Reds are 5-39 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Reds are 34-8 (.810) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .472 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .133 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .219 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .212 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 2.85 runs per game (251/88) in the first 5 innings this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.24 runs per game (215/41) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Orioles vs Reds and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.