- The Orioles are -120 favorites vs the Reds
- Orioles vs Reds Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Orioles / Reds TV Channel: MASN | RDTV
The Baltimore Orioles (-120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+100) on July 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Orioles are 40-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 47-38 ATS.
Orioles vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 5-7, 5.02 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 3-7, 5.15 ERA
Orioles vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +125 | O 10 -118 | -120 |
| Reds | +1.5 -155 | U 10 -102 | +100 |
Orioles vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+12.20 Units / 122% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.80 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Sal Stewart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+12.20 Units / 152% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.20 Units / 51% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+4.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 42-45 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -4.69% ROI).
- 40-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.4 Units / -11.91% ROI
- 49-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.25 Units / 9.53% ROI
- 36-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.8 Units / -18.43% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 47-38 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -2.15% ROI).
- 40-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -5.48% ROI
- 50-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.25 Units / 11.82% ROI
- 35-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.6 Units / -20.84% ROI
Reds vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | +200 |
| Gunnar Henderson | +250 |
| Eugenio Suarez | +270 |
| Sal Stewart | +280 |
| Samuel Basallo | +300 |
Reds vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Taylor Ward | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colton Cowser | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Matt McLain | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Taylor Ward | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Orioles are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 8-39 (.170) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Orioles are just 18-68 (.209) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Orioles are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 6-38 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Reds are 5-39 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Reds are 34-8 (.810) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .472 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Orioles are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Orioles are batting just .133 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .219 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .212 at home this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.
The Orioles have allowed 2.85 runs per game (251/88) in the first 5 innings this season — 5th highest in MLB.
The Orioles have allowed 5.24 runs per game (215/41) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.
The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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