• The Reds are -125 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Orioles / Reds TV Channel: MASN | RDTV

The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-125) on July 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Orioles are 41-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 47-39 ATS.

Orioles vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 6-2, 3.14 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Orioles vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Blaze Alexander has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+8.50 Units / 85% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.20 Units / 42% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Sal Stewart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.20 Units / 46% ROI)
• Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+11.20 Units / 124% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.20 Units / 51% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+5.65 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.60 Units / 35% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.00 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.95 Units / 16% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 43-45 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -3.51% ROI).

• 41-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.4 Units / -10.82% ROI
• 49-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.15 Units / 8.3% ROI
• 37-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.8 Units / -17.2% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 47-39 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -3.32% ROI).

• 40-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -6.45% ROI
• 50-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.15 Units / 10.54% ROI
• 36-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.6 Units / -19.55% ROI

Reds vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Orioles are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 9-39 (.188) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Orioles are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Reds are just 6-38 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Reds are 5-40 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 13-88 (.129) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters are slugging just .469 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .226 on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .131 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .205 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .118 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in the first 5 innings this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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