Orioles vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 20

Kansas City Royals' Bobby Witt Jr. celebrates a double against the Detroit Tigers during the fifth inning of a baseball game in Kansas City, Mo., Sunday, June 1, 2025.
(AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)
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  • The Orioles are -115 favorites vs the Royals
  • Orioles vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
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The Baltimore Orioles (-115) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on April 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Orioles are 10-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 9-12 ATS.

Orioles vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 1-2, 5.50 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 1-1, 1.50 ERA

Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeremiah Jackson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+28.50 Units / 317% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.95 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.25 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+21.10 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.05 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games at home (+14.00 Units / 156% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 away games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 50 away games (+0.15 Units / 0% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+3.45 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 40 games at home (+1.90 Units / 4% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 8-14 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -28.67% ROI).

  • 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -15.66% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 3.93% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -13.58% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 9-12 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -19.87% ROI).

  • 7-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -38.21% ROI
  • 7-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -39.14% ROI
  • 15-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.45 Units / 31.04% ROI

Royals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Alonso +325
Gunnar Henderson +350
Salvador Perez +390
Vinnie Pasquantino +400
Taylor Ward +450

Royals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Maikel Garcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Pete Alonso 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jeremiah Jackson 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Taylor Ward 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Royals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jac Caglianone 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Samuel Basallo 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Taylor Ward 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Pete Alonso 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jeremiah Jackson 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Orioles are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Royals are just 7-3 (.700) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Royals were 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Royals are just 7-15 (.318) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 1-10 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Orioles are batting just .129 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .177 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 28% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB.

Royals hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Royals batted just .281 in hitter’s counts in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Orioles pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 15% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 18% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Royals pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.