- The Orioles are -110 favorites vs the Twins
- Orioles vs Twins Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | MASN
The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-110) on August 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Orioles are 58-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 66-54 ATS.
Orioles vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 4-11, 3.73 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Connor Prielipp 3-5, 4.79 ERA
Orioles vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +150 | O 9 -120 | -110 |
| Twins | +1.5 -185 | U 9 +100 | -110 |
Orioles vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Encarnacio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+12.22 Units / 204% ROI)
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Carlos Narvaez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Coby Mayo has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+8.80 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Keaschall has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kody Clemens has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Luke Keaschall has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+11.00 Units / 122% ROI)
- Kody Clemens has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+6.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+5.45 Units / 22% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 62-57 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 1.37% ROI).
- 58-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -6.53% ROI
- 60-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.21% ROI
- 56-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -7.18% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 66-54 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.15% ROI).
- 59-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -1.07% ROI
- 63-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.4 Units / 5.53% ROI
- 50-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.35 Units / -14.6% ROI
Twins vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | +340 |
| Kody Clemens | +380 |
| Tyler O'Neill | +390 |
| Gunnar Henderson | +425 |
| Ryan Jeffers | +425 |
Twins vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jackson Holliday | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan Jeffers | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Twins vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Colton Cowser | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tyler O'Neill | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Dylan Beavers | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Orioles were just 63-10 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Orioles were 36-3 (.923) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
The Orioles were 60-12 (.833) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 70-73 (.490) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Twins were just 20-76 (.208) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season — best in MLB.
Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
Orioles hitters are averaging 3.99 pitches per plate appearance this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .285 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
The Twins are batting just .218 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Twins are batting just .232 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Twins hitters have a 51% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.23 (253.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Orioles have allowed 5.05 runs per game (293/58) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The Twins have allowed 5.40 runs per game (335/62) on the road this season — highest in MLB.
Twins pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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