Orioles vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 12

Minnesota Twins' Byron Buxton celebrates towards the dugout after hitting a single that scores two runs against the Athletics during the sixth inning of a baseball game Tuesday, June 3, 2025, in West Sacramento, Calif.
(AP Photo/Scott Marshall)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Orioles are -110 favorites vs the Twins
  • Orioles vs Twins Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Orioles / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | MASN

The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-110) on August 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Orioles are 58-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 66-54 ATS.

Orioles vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 4-11, 3.73 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Connor Prielipp 3-5, 4.79 ERA

Orioles vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles-1.5 +150O 9 -120-110
Twins +1.5 -185U 9 +100-110

Orioles vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Orioles vs Twins and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Christian Encarnacio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+12.22 Units / 204% ROI)
  • Carlos Narvaez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Carlos Narvaez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Carlos Narvaez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Coby Mayo has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+8.80 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ryan Jeffers has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kody Clemens has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+11.00 Units / 122% ROI)
  • Kody Clemens has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+6.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+5.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 62-57 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 1.37% ROI).

  • 58-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -6.53% ROI
  • 60-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.21% ROI
  • 56-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -7.18% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 66-54 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.15% ROI).

  • 59-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -1.07% ROI
  • 63-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.4 Units / 5.53% ROI
  • 50-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.35 Units / -14.6% ROI

Twins vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Alonso +340
Kody Clemens +380
Tyler O'Neill +390
Gunnar Henderson +425
Ryan Jeffers +425

Twins vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Alonso 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Trevor Larnach 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jackson Holliday 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Josh Bell 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Twins vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Alonso 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Colton Cowser 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Dylan Beavers 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles were just 63-10 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Orioles were 36-3 (.923) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .809.

The Orioles were 60-12 (.833) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 70-73 (.490) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Twins were just 20-76 (.208) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Orioles have an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are averaging 3.99 pitches per plate appearance this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .285 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .218 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .232 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 51% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.23 (253.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.05 runs per game (293/58) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.40 runs per game (335/62) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Orioles vs Twins and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.