• The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Orioles / Yankees TV Channel: MASN | YES

The Baltimore Orioles (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on May 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Orioles are 15-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 18-14 ATS.

Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 1-3, 4.20 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 1-2, 3.24 ERA

Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Coby Mayo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+16.30 Units / 233% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 37% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 55% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+24.50 Units / 350% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)
• Jose Caballero has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 56% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.05 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 away games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 32% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 45% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 14-18 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -10.53% ROI).

• 15-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -13.15% ROI
• 21-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.85 Units / 25% ROI
• 11-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.95 Units / -34.09% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 18-14 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 19.42% ROI).

• 21-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 3.19% ROI
• 13-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -16.26% ROI
• 17-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.55 Units / 7.21% ROI

Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Orioles are just 1-5 (.167) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Yankees (second in runs allowed).

The Orioles are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 18-46 (.281) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Orioles are just 75-11 (.872) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Yankees are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Yankees are 8-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .758.

The Yankees are 17-1 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .852.

The Yankees are 97-6 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .906.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

The Orioles are batting just .218 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .202 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .137 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .695 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .105 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 7.20 (35.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.28 (157.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 2.50 runs per game (45/18) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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