- The Braves are -190 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Phillies / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | NSPA
The Philadelphia Phillies (+155) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-190) on September 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Phillies are 82-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 75-71 ATS.
Phillies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 6-10, 4.79 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 14-9, 2.10 ERA
Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -125 | +155 |
| Braves | -1.5 +118 | U 7.5 +105 | -190 |
Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 62.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Derek Hill has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.75 Units / 78% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.50 Units / 262% ROI)
- Derek Hill has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 38% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 away games (+5.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+4.45 Units / 7% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+15.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+14.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 61-85 against the Run Line (-29.15 Units / -16.99% ROI).
- 82-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -1.17% ROI
- 66-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -8.7% ROI
- 73-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 0.59% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 75-71 against the Run Line (+12.65 Units / 7.48% ROI).
- 86-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.2 Units / 4.08% ROI
- 65-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.6 Units / -10.8% ROI
- 75-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 2.96% ROI
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are 15-51 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.
The Phillies are 7-57 (.109) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.
The Phillies are 11-55 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Phillies are 46-6 (.885) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are 43-10 (.811) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Braves are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Braves are 39-6 (.867) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Braves are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are just 6-24 (-60.0% ROI) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB.
The Phillies are just 8-22 (.267) against the run line (-59.4% ROI) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .307 (3,815 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters are slugging just .365 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — best in MLB.
The Braves have an xwOBA of .380 this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters are slugging .288 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.
Braves hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.57 (623.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Braves have allowed 3.82 runs per game (561/147) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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