- The Phillies are -115 favorites vs the Braves
- Phillies vs Braves Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Phillies / Braves TV Channel: NBC | PEAC
The Philadelphia Phillies (-115) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-105) on September 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:00 pm in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Phillies are 88-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 82-80 ATS.
Phillies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 18-7, 2.92 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 7-10, 4.01 ERA
Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +150 | O 7 +100 | -115 |
| Braves | +1.5 -185 | U 7 -120 | -105 |
Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.35 Units / 61% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 61% ROI)
- Justin Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 6 away games (+10.00 Units / 167% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Riley has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+17.60 Units / 251% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.05 Units / 55% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 away games (+7.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+3.65 Units / 8% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 50 games (+22.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+10.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+8.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.70 Units / 32% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 68-94 against the Run Line (-34.35 Units / -17.72% ROI).
- 88-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -3.64% ROI
- 77-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -4.79% ROI
- 78-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -3.49% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 82-80 against the Run Line (+9.65 Units / 5.09% ROI).
- 95-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 3.55% ROI
- 75-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.9 Units / -6.59% ROI
- 79-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -1.18% ROI
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are 15-57 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Phillies are 7-65 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.
The Phillies are 48-6 (.889) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Phillies are 45-36 (.556) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are 50-10 (.833) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Braves are 40-27 (.597) after a loss this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
The Braves are 32-19 (.627) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Phillies (19th in runs scored).
The Braves are 73-4 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting just .228 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .663 (3,059 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters are slugging just .249 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters are slugging just .364 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .753 (1,906 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Braves hitters have an OBP of just .298 (3,080 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Braves hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.63 (1438.0 IP) this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Braves have allowed 3.83 runs per game (310/81) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .240 against Braves pitchers with runners on base this season — 4th best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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