- The Phillies are -110 favorites vs the Cubs
- Phillies vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | NSP+
The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-110) on April 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Phillies are 8-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 9-12 ATS.
Phillies vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 1-1, 4.09 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Colin Rea 2-0, 3.64 ERA
Phillies vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+9.65 Units / 64% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+21.50 Units / 215% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+8.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 50 away games (+4.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+6.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 4-17 against the Run Line (-13.9 Units / -60.04% ROI).
- 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -31.27% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -3.66% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -3.26% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 9-12 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -11.38% ROI).
- 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -3.16% ROI
- 12-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 14.94% ROI
- 8-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -22.41% ROI
Cubs vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | +240 |
| Mike Busch | +360 |
| Bryce Harper | +380 |
| Ian Happ | +400 |
| Adolis Garcia | +400 |
Cubs vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Mike Busch | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Cubs vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mike Busch | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Phillies are 17-57 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Phillies are 29-104 (.218) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Phillies are 46-32 (.590) after a loss since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cubs were 40-9 (.816) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Cubs are 43-9 (.827) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Cubs were 48-6 (.889) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
The Cubs are 9-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .893.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .552 (271 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Phillies are batting just .179 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
The Phillies are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Phillies hitters are slugging just .279 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .444 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.
Cubs hitters are slugging .435 against LHP since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Cubs hitters slugged .434 against LHP in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.
Cubs hitters had an OPS of .752 (1,589 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Cubs pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Cubs pitchers picked-off 27 runners in the 2025 season — most in MLB.
Cubs pitchers picked-off 25 runners from first base in the 2025 season — most in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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