Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 2

Corbin Carroll Diamondbacks
AP Photo/Alex Brandon
Parlay Boost Today
  • The Phillies are -118 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Phillies vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Phillies / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | NSPA

The Philadelphia Phillies (-118) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-102) on September 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Phillies are against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are ATS.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 3-8, 5.95 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Taylor Clarke 2-3, 2.57 ERA

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +135O 9 +100-118
Diamondbacks +1.5 -165U 9 -130-102

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Justin Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Justin Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.85 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ryan Waldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+9.45 Units / 118% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.75 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.65 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+8.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.20 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +240
Bryce Harper +425
Ketel Marte +450
Corbin Carroll +475
Nolan Arenado +625

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alec Bohm 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Justin Crawford 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Waldschmidt 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Tim Tawa 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Trea Turner 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Phillies are 15-49 (.234) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 45-5 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 18-40 (.310) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Diamondbacks are 63-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are just 112-25 (.818) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are 9-123 (.068) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .485 (2,811 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .713 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .246 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .367 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Diamondbacks are batting .277 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .784 (1,475 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (3,190 balls in play) — best in MLB

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.