Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 30

Los Angeles Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts (50) in the sixth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 27, 2023, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
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  • The Dodgers are -130 favorites vs the Phillies
  • Phillies vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
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The Philadelphia Phillies (+105) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) on May 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Phillies are 29-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 31-26 ATS.

Phillies vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 4-4, 4.36 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Roki Sasaki 3-3, 4.97 ERA

Phillies vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies+1.5 -200O 8.5 -115+105
Dodgers -1.5 +165U 8.5 -105-130

Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+14.10 Units / 157% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.50 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Roki Sasaki has hit the Walks Allowed Under in his last 6 games (+6.25 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Roki Sasaki has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Roki Sasaki has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.30 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Roki Sasaki has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Roki Sasaki has hit the Earned Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+2.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 17 games (+12.80 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 away games (+6.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 40% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 18-38 against the Run Line (-23.3 Units / -34.65% ROI).

  • 29-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -9.21% ROI
  • 24-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -15.7% ROI
  • 31-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 7.82% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 31-26 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 6.77% ROI).

  • 37-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -1.8% ROI
  • 24-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.5 Units / -19.84% ROI
  • 33-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.7 Units / 10.74% ROI

Dodgers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +185
Bryce Harper +310
Shohei Ohtani +350
Max Muncy +400
Andy Pages +400

Dodgers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andy Pages 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Trea Turner 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Mookie Betts 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Dodgers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Trea Turner 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Bryce Harper 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Will Smith 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Phillies are just 3-10 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.

The Phillies are 21-1 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .860.

The Phillies are just 2-13 (.133) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Phillies are 15-4 (.789) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .645.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Dodgers are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Dodgers are 25-1 (.962) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Dodgers are 31-1 (.969) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Dodgers are 37-20 (.649) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .274 (1,013 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .209 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .214 (1,119 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .226 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (2,183 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .791 (1,632 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .443 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .362 (1,142 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.4 MPH this season (1,410 balls in play) — best in MLB

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .285 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH (1,410 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Dodgers pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .209 against Dodgers pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.